Aarau vs Thun Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – February 14

Aarau

D D L L W

2nd place in Swiss Challenge League

1-0

14/02/2025 15:15

Thun

W W W D L

1st place in Swiss Challenge League

Swiss Challenge League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aarau vs Thun on February 14, 2025 (kick-off: 15:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aarau vs Thun preview before placing for you.

Aarau are currently 2nd with 61 points after 36 matches.
Thun sit 1st with 72 points from 36 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aarau to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Thun, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Aarau have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:15

2025-02-14

Aarau vs Thun - Prediction & Odds

Aarau

Thun

2025-02-14 15:15

STANDINGS UP TO 14/02/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	72	36	21	9	6	70	39	31
02 Aarau	61	36	16	13	7	63	45	18
03 Etoile Carouge	54	36	15	9	12	58	47	11
04 Stade Ouchy	53	36	14	11	11	54	43	11
05 Vaduz	51	36	13	12	11	48	49	-1
06 FC Wil 1900	50	36	13	11	12	58	57	1
07 Bellinzona	47	36	12	11	13	48	57	-9
08 Neuchatel Xamax	41	36	12	5	19	57	65	-8
09 Stade Nyonnais	36	36	10	6	20	44	69	-25
10 Schaffhausen	28	36	7	7	22	40	69	-29

Head To Head

30/11/2024 13:00

Thun

1 - 1

Aarau

SUI CL

19/07/2024 14:15

Aarau

1 - 3

Thun

SUI CL

19/04/2024 14:15

Aarau

3 - 0

Thun

SUI CL

16/02/2024 15:15

Thun

1 - 0

Aarau

SUI CL

03/11/2023 15:15

Aarau

5 - 2

Thun

SUI CL

22/09/2023 14:15

Thun

2 - 0

Aarau

SUI CL

Aarau

33%

Draw

17%

Thun

50%

Aarau Last 6 matches

07/02/2025 15:15

Stade Ouchy 2 - 4 Aarau SUI CL

01/02/2025 13:00

Aarau 2 - 1 Bellinzona SUI CL

24/01/2025 14:30

Stade Nyonnais 1 - 2 Aarau SUI CL

18/01/2025 09:30

Biel Bienne 3 - 5 Aarau INT CF

10/01/2025 08:00

Aarau 2 - 1 Erzgebirge Aue INT CF

06/01/2025 08:00

Schalke 04 3 - 1 Aarau INT CF

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Thun

09/02/2025 11:30

Thun 2 - 0 Bellinzona SUI CL

31/01/2025 14:30

Schaffhausen 2 - 3 Thun SUI CL

24/01/2025 15:15

Thun 3 - 1 Vaduz SUI CL

18/01/2025 09:30

Thun 2 - 2 FC Rapperswil-Jona INT CF

18/01/2025 07:00

Thun 1 - 2 Kriens INT CF

11/01/2025 10:00

Basel 2 - 0 Thun INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Challenge League

Played games

Goals

Scored

240

Avg. per game

1.78

Conceded

175

Avg. per game

1.30

Scored

322

Avg. per game

2.09

Conceded

201

Avg. per game

1.31

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 135 home matches

YesNo

114 (84%)21 (16%)

In last 135 home matches

NoYes

133 (86%)21 (14%)

Aarau

Recent matches

Thun

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(91%)41 4(9%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aarau

Thun

Shots

Aarau

Total shots

12.39 avg / game

Blocked

98 total

Avg. 5.16

Thun

Total shots

13.50 avg / game

Blocked

108 total

Avg. 4.70

Aarau Pass Thun

Total passes

13314

Avg. 380 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

11963

Avg. 323 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aarau

135

Played games

Thun

154

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.28

5.30

715

Corners

783

5.08

5.99

808

Throw-ins

805

5.23

1.63

220

Offsides

241

1.56

2.54

343

GK saves

296

1.92

Aarau

DISCIPLINARY

Thun

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.87

253

277

1.80

0.05

0.04

10.53

1421

Fouls

1505

9.77

4.13

557

Tackles

403

2.62

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aarau vs Thun Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aarau vs Thun on 14 February 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Challenge League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aarau vs Thun Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aarau's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Thun's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Challenge League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Challenge League standings and the Swiss Challenge League form table to understand exactly where Aarau and Thun sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Challenge League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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