Aarau vs Thun: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 February

Aarau
DDLLW
2nd place in Swiss Challenge League
1
1-0
FT
14/02/2025 15:15
Thun
WWWDL
1st place in Swiss Challenge League
Swiss Challenge League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aarau vs Thun on 14 February 2025 (kick-off: 15:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aarau vs Thun preview before placing your bet.

  • Aarau are currently 2nd with 61 points after 36 matches.
  • Thun sit 1st with 72 points from 36 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Aarau to win with probability 40%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Thun, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Aarau have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
15:15

2025-02-14

Aarau vs Thun - Prediction & Odds

Aarau
Aarau
Thun
Thun
2025-02-14 15:15
40
25
35
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
2.26
FT
1-0 1-0
-
weather
0℃～1℃
STANDINGS UP TO 14/02/2025
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Thun Thun
72 36 21 9 6 70 39 31
02 Aarau Aarau
61 36 16 13 7 63 45 18
03 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge
54 36 15 9 12 58 47 11
04 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy
53 36 14 11 11 54 43 11
05 Vaduz Vaduz
51 36 13 12 11 48 49 -1
06 FC Wil 1900 FC Wil 1900
50 36 13 11 12 58 57 1
07 Bellinzona Bellinzona
47 36 12 11 13 48 57 -9
08 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax
41 36 12 5 19 57 65 -8
09 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais
36 36 10 6 20 44 69 -25
10 Schaffhausen Schaffhausen
28 36 7 7 22 40 69 -29
Head To Head
30/11/2024 13:00
Thun Thun
1 - 1
Aarau Aarau
SUI CL
19/07/2024 14:15
Aarau Aarau
1 - 3
Thun Thun
SUI CL
19/04/2024 14:15
Aarau Aarau
3 - 0
Thun Thun
SUI CL
16/02/2024 15:15
Thun Thun
1 - 0
Aarau Aarau
SUI CL
03/11/2023 15:15
Aarau Aarau
5 - 2
Thun Thun
SUI CL
22/09/2023 14:15
Thun Thun
2 - 0
Aarau Aarau
SUI CL
Aarau
2
33%
Draw
1
17%
Thun
3
50%
Aarau Aarau Last 6 matches
07/02/2025 15:15
Stade Ouchy 2 - 4 Aarau SUI CL
01/02/2025 13:00
Aarau 2 - 1 Bellinzona SUI CL
24/01/2025 14:30
Stade Nyonnais 1 - 2 Aarau SUI CL
18/01/2025 09:30
Biel Bienne 3 - 5 Aarau INT CF
10/01/2025 08:00
Aarau 2 - 1 Erzgebirge Aue INT CF
06/01/2025 08:00
Schalke 04 3 - 1 Aarau INT CF
Win
83%
Draw
0%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Thun Thun
09/02/2025 11:30
Thun 2 - 0 Bellinzona SUI CL
31/01/2025 14:30
Schaffhausen 2 - 3 Thun SUI CL
24/01/2025 15:15
Thun 3 - 1 Vaduz SUI CL
18/01/2025 09:30
Thun 2 - 2 FC Rapperswil-Jona INT CF
18/01/2025 07:00
Thun 1 - 2 Kriens INT CF
11/01/2025 10:00
Basel 2 - 0 Thun INT CF
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Swiss Challenge League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Aarau
Aarau
280
 Thun
Thun
288
Goals
Scored
237
Avg. per game
0.85
Conceded
194
Avg. per game
0.69
Scored
237
Avg. per game
0.82
Conceded
165
Avg. per game
0.57
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 280 matches
YesNo
160 (57%)120 (43%)
In last 280 matches
NoYes
159 (55%)129 (45%)
Aarau

Aarau

Recent matches

Thun

Thun

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Aarau Aarau
Thun Thun
Shots
Aarau
Aarau
Total shots
12.08 avg / game
Blocked
173 total
Avg. 4.55
Thun
Thun
Total shots
12.77 avg / game
Blocked
213 total
Avg. 4.73
Aarau Aarau Pass Thun Thun
Total passes
27834
Avg. 392 / game
Accurate
78%
Ball possession
53%
Total passes
23346
Avg. 329 / game
Accurate
74%
Ball possession
49%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Aarau
Aarau
26087
Avg. 93.17 / game
 Thun
Thun
24450
Avg. 84.90 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Aarau
Aarau
15339
Avg. 54.78 / game
 Thun
Thun
15876
Avg. 55.13 / game
OTHERS
Aarau
Aarau
280
Played games
Thun
Thun
288
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.28
79
Clean sheets
73
0.25
5.00
1399
Corners
1412
4.90
5.61
1572
Throw-ins
1594
5.53
1.59
445
Offsides
528
1.83
2.37
664
GK saves
624
2.17
Aarau
Aarau
DISCIPLINARY
Thun
Thun
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.89
529
Yellow card
557
1.93
0.06
17
Red card
16
0.06
10.06
2816
Fouls
3093
10.74
3.77
1056
Tackles
803
2.79
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How We Build the Aarau vs Thun Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aarau vs Thun on 14 February 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Challenge League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aarau vs Thun Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aarau's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Thun's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Challenge League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Challenge League standings and the Swiss Challenge League form table to understand exactly where Aarau and Thun sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Challenge League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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